Our final Oscar poll this year of course looks at the top prize. Which movie do you expect to win Best Picture on Sunday?
PLEASE NOTE: I am dividing this into two polls. The first is your prediction for which director will actually take home the trophy, regardless of merit.
I’m honestly torn on this one. When the nominations were announced, my first reaction was to say that ‘Dunkirk’ looked like the safest bet to claim Best Picture. The film was critically respected and a big box office hit. The World War II setting and subject matter is also a perennial favorite among Oscar voters. However, the movie’s lack of a strong central character or performance may leave voters cold. The buzz around the movie has also seemed to dissipate in recent weeks.
‘Three Billboards’ won the Golden Globe for Best Drama as well as the SAG equivalent. It seems to have the most momentum going into the ceremony. The story is centered around a strong woman, which certainly earns it bonus points this year. However, the subject matter is divisive, and the film has faced a backlash recently, especially about its racial politics. Then again, a backlash didn’t stop ‘Birdman’ from winning a few years ago.
‘The Shape of Water’ is the leader for nominations, but aside from ‘Lord of the Rings’, fantasy films haven’t fared too well at the Oscars. The predominantly older voters don’t care for them very often. ‘Get Out’ faces a similar resistance to horror movies.
‘Call Me by Your Name’, ‘Darkest Hour’, ‘Lady Bird’, ‘Phantom Thread’, and ‘The Post’ can all be ruled out right off the bat. Those are all “It’s an honor just to be nominated” picks and stand no chance of winning.
Josh’s prediction: ‘Three Billboards’
Next, if you were an Oscar voter, which of the nominees would get your vote?
I’m disappointed that ‘The Florida Project’ wasn’t nominated. That was the best film I saw in 2017.