In years past, the Academy closely tied the Best Director Oscar to the Best Picture winner, but that’s not always the case anymore. What’s your prediction for this category?
PLEASE NOTE: I am dividing this into two polls. The first is your prediction for which director will actually take home the trophy, regardless of merit.
I see this as a close race between Guillermo del Toro and Christopher Nolan. If the Oscar voters are looking to reward the technical achievement, Nolan will probably take the trophy, regardless of whether ‘Dunkirk’ prevails as Best Picture. However, ‘The Shape of Water’ is no slouch in that area, and it’s the leader for most nominations overall. The strength of del Toro’s artistic vision may win out. (He also won the Director’s Guild trophy, which is a pretty strong predictor of Oscar glory.)
Anderson seems to me to be the least likely candidate to win. His movie was respected but little seen, and it doesn’t feel like the sort of tour de force that Anderson delivered with ‘There Will Be Blood’.
I don’t foresee either Gerwig or Peele being realistic contenders here unless the voters are trying to make an undisguised political statement. Gerwig’s film feels too slight to merit Best Director, and horror movies are rarely rewarded at the Oscars.
Josh’s prediction: Guillermo del Toro
Next, if you were an Oscar voter, which of the nominees would get your vote?