The year’s Oscar race is fast approaching its finish line. Before we watch the ceremony on Sunday, let’s make some predictions. Who do you think will win Best Actor this year? More importantly, who actually deserves to win?
PLEASE NOTE: I am dividing this into two polls. The first is your prediction for which actor will actually take home the trophy, regardless of merit.
Most signs point to Gary Oldman finally claiming his first Oscar. He prevailed at the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards and seems to be on a winning streak. Although the movie itself had some mixed reviews, and it’s debatable whether Oldman’s performance was really the best of the year, this would be a classic “make good” award for a respected actor that many of the voters feel should have gotten an Oscar years ago. See also: Jeff Bridges for ‘Crazy Heart’, Julianne Moore for ‘Still Alice’, etc. (It’s only been three years, and how many people even remember ‘Still Alice’ at all?)
On the other hand, ‘Darkest Hour’ is such an overt piece of Oscar bait and Oldman’s performance such obvious showboating that many voters may reject it. I doubt that Timothée Chalamet stands much of a chance here. Denzel Washington already has two Oscars and it doesn’t seem like many people actually believe he deserved a nomination for ‘Roman J. Israel’. While there may be some pressure to give Daniel Day-Lewis yet another Oscar for his alleged final performance before retirement, the man has three already and it will be damn hard to justify one more so soon after ‘Lincoln’.
If anyone could slip in here and steal the award out from under Oldman, it may actually be Daniel Kaluuya. His movie was hotly buzzed, and voting for him is a smart political move for an organization still struggling with a lack of diversity and an aging membership base. (Fair or not, such motivations weigh heavily into the voting process.) Still, despite its Best Picture nomination, ‘Get Out’ is simply not the type of picture that traditionally wins Oscars.
Josh’s prediction: Gary Oldman
Next, if you were an Oscar voter, which of the nominees would get your vote?
I still haven’t seen any of these movies, so I can’t weigh in yet.